Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.656675 4.301884 5.050107 5.987367 7.137592 8.512814 10.296036
2025-01-05 2.649800 3.429990 4.445111 5.884708 7.909893 10.713001 14.986648
2025-01-12 2.211182 3.044696 4.214407 6.019031 8.813220 13.116255 20.537896
2025-01-19 1.854523 2.674091 3.891804 5.896790 9.246117 14.872420 25.640000
2025-01-26 1.711027 2.576236 3.933218 6.312504 10.596596 18.455376 35.223988
2025-02-02 1.567509 2.448063 3.894356 6.572619 11.726560 21.968029 46.167415
2025-02-09 1.458498 2.354781 3.890504 6.882736 13.015638 26.185329 60.646105
2025-02-16 1.336445 2.219240 3.787365 6.980066 13.896929 29.821638 75.614151
2025-02-23 1.237661 2.109406 3.710816 7.109515 14.874834 34.013597 94.528006
2025-03-02 1.129503 1.967625 3.551616 7.034824 15.368823 37.183175 112.359678
2025-03-09 1.058078 1.884969 3.494136 7.166026 16.389871 42.146734 139.762236
2025-03-16 0.976203 1.772065 3.359498 7.097615 16.890420 45.832362 165.325401
2025-03-23 0.898106 1.668946 3.254771 7.141203 17.887252 52.096829 210.637484
2025-03-30 0.813480 1.544483 3.091844 7.027825 18.481306 57.657704 261.440853
2025-04-06 0.760853 1.478229 3.044212 7.192858 19.969021 67.375828 349.833260
2025-04-13 0.694181 1.372962 2.890632 7.042033 20.418438 73.458859 427.933614
2025-04-20 0.674839 1.368031 2.970461 7.555586 23.316465 92.183546 640.510948
2025-04-27 0.645720 1.337035 2.981865 7.877606 25.704391 110.833127 912.865616
2025-05-04 0.621758 1.314544 3.010599 8.262195 28.540429 134.791549 1339.132042
2025-05-11 0.587878 1.264255 2.959394 8.383042 30.387173 155.299433 1829.851088
2025-05-18 0.558730 1.221795 2.922391 8.543875 32.517461 180.347722 2557.611300
2025-05-25 0.522708 1.158211 2.818280 8.451062 33.465363 198.661992 3310.222157
2025-06-01 0.498989 1.122809 2.787744 8.614124 35.772264 230.807807 4731.369664